math/doc/statistics/ljung_box.qbk

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[/
Copyright (c) 2019 Nick Thompson
Use, modification and distribution are subject to the
Boost Software License, Version 1.0. (See accompanying file
LICENSE_1_0.txt or copy at http://www.boost.org/LICENSE_1_0.txt)
]
[section:ljung_box The Ljung-Box Test]
[heading Synopsis]
```
#include <boost/math/statistics/ljung_box.hpp>
namespace boost::math::statistics {
template<class RandomAccessIterator>
std::pair<Real, Real> ljung_box(RandomAccessIterator begin, RandomAccessIterator end, int64_t lags = -1, int64_t fit_dof = 0);
template<class RandomAccessContainer>
auto ljung_box(RandomAccessContainer const & v, int64_t lags = -1, int64_t fit_dof = 0);
}
```
[heading Background]
The Ljung-Box test is used to test if residuals from a fitted model have unwanted autocorrelation.
If autocorrelation exists in the residuals, then presumably a model with more parameters can be fitted to the original data and explain more of the structure it contains.
The test statistic is
[$../graphs/ljung_box_definition.svg]
where /n/ is the length of /v/ and \u2113 is the number of lags.
The variance of the statistic slightly exceeds the variance of the chi squared distribution, but nonetheless it still is a fairly good test with reasonable computational cost.
An example use is given below:
```
#include <vector>
#include <random>
#include <iostream>
#include <boost/math/statistics/ljung_box.hpp>
using boost::math::statistics::ljung_box;
std::random_device rd;
std::normal_distribution<double> dis(0, 1);
std::vector<double> v(8192);
for (auto & x : v) { x = dis(rd); }
auto [Q, p] = ljung_box(v);
// Possible output: Q = 5.94734, p = 0.819668
```
Now if the result is clearly autocorrelated:
```
for (size_t i = 0; i < v.size(); ++i) { v[i] = i; }
auto [Q, p] = ljung_box(v);
// Possible output: Q = 81665.1, p = 0
```
By default, the number of lags is taken to be the logarithm of the number of samples, so that the default complexity is [bigO](/n/ ln /n/).
If you want to calculate a given number of lags, use the second argument:
```
int64_t lags = 10;
auto [Q, p] = ljung_box(v,10);
```
Finally, it is sometimes relevant to specify how many degrees of freedom were used in creating the model from which the residuals were computed.
This does not affect the test statistic /Q/, but only the /p/-value.
If you need to specify the number of degrees of freedom, use
```
int64_t fit_dof = 2;
auto [Q, p] = ljung_box(v, -1, fit_dof);
```
For example, if you fit your data with an ARIMA(/p/, /q/) model, then `fit_dof = p + q`.
[endsect]
[/section:ljung_box]