math/doc/statistics/runs_test.qbk
2019-10-13 21:22:46 -04:00

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[/
Copyright (c) 2019 Nick Thompson
Use, modification and distribution are subject to the
Boost Software License, Version 1.0. (See accompanying file
LICENSE_1_0.txt or copy at http://www.boost.org/LICENSE_1_0.txt)
]
[section:runs_test Runs tests]
[heading Synopsis]
```
#include <boost/math/statistics/runs_test.hpp>
namespace boost::math::statistics {
template<typename RandomAccessContainer>
std::pair<Real, Real> runs_above_and_below_threshold(RandomAccessContainer const & v, typename RandomAccessContainer::value_type threshold);
template<typename RandomAccessContainer>
std::pair<Real, Real> runs_above_and_below_median(RandomAccessContainer const & v);
}}}
```
[heading Background]
The "runs above and below median test" tries to determine if a sequence is random by looking at the number of consecutive values which exceed (or are below) the median of the sequence.
For example, if we are given data {5, 2, 0, 4, 7, 9, 10, 6, 1, 8, 3}, first we find the median (5), and transform the vector into a list of + and -'s, depending on whether the value is greater or less than the median.
(Values equal to the median we simply ignore-this is a convention we have inherited from the wonderful `randtests` package in R.)
Hence our data vector is transformed into
{-,-,-,+,+,+,-,+,-}
which is 5 runs, with /n/[sub a] = 5 values above and /n/[sub b] = 5 values below the median.
[@https://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda35d.htm NIST] tells us the expected number of runs and their variance:
[$../graphs/expected_runs_above_threshold.svg]
from which we derive the test statistic
[$../graphs/runs_test_statistic.svg]
whose distribution we approximate as normal to extract a /p/-value.
An example usage is as follows:
```
#include <vector>
#include <random>
#include <boost/math/statistics/runs_test.hpp>
std::random_device rd;
std::vector<double> v{5, 2, 0, 4, 7, 9, 10, 6, 1, 8, 3};
auto [t, p] = boost::math::statistics::runs_above_and_below_median(v);
// t = -0.670820393249936919; p = 0.502334954360502017;
```
We see that we have about a 50% chance of seeing this number of runs if the null hypothesis of randomness is true, and hence the assumption of randomness seems reasonable.
As always, the test statistic is the first element of the pair, and the /p/-value is the second element.
[heading Performance]
There are two cases: Where the threshold (typically the median) has already been computed, and the case where the mean and sample variance must be computed on the fly.
Computing the median is fairly expensive (requiring a call to `boost::math::statistics::median`), and since the order of the original data must be preserved, it must allocate.
If you believe your data to come from a distribution where the means and median coincide, or if you've already computed the median in the course of some other analysis, then you can get away with a call to `runs_above_and_below_threshold` via
```
Real threshold = 5;
auto [t, p] = boost::math::statistics::runs_above_and_below_threshold(v, threshold);
```
The performance differences between these two cases are obvious:
```
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benchmark Time Bytes/second
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/8 260 ns 118.421M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/16 318 ns 192.797M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/32 417 ns 303.509M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/64 625 ns 390.578M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/128 743 ns 657.827M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/256 1308 ns 767.181M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/512 1896 ns 1034.31M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/1024 6582 ns 594.458M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/2048 26067 ns 300.001M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/4096 62023 ns 252.125M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/8192 124976 ns 250.256M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/16384 242171 ns 258.29M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/32768 528683 ns 236.714M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/65536 965354 ns 259.185M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/131072 2514693 ns 199.068M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/262144 4223084 ns 237.058M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/524288 8638963 ns 231.755M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/1048576 16215682 ns 246.995M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/2097152 39180496 ns 204.443M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/4194304 82495779 ns 194.307M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/8388608 142675936 ns 224.547M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>/16777216 287638068 ns 223.088M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<float>_BigO 17.25 N
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/8 191 ns 320.129M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/16 233 ns 523.526M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/32 334 ns 730.8M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/64 456 ns 1070.93M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/128 688 ns 1.38789G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/256 1257 ns 1.51807G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/512 2663 ns 1.43406G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/1024 4100 ns 1.86266G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/2048 23493 ns 665.851M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/4096 57968 ns 539.551M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/8192 142272 ns 439.746M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/16384 260948 ns 479.639M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/32768 551577 ns 453.623M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/65536 1056583 ns 473.654M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/131072 2123956 ns 471.35M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/262144 5028745 ns 398.111M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/524288 10399212 ns 384.981M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/1048576 23089767 ns 348.496M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/2097152 37626884 ns 425.962M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/4194304 79281747 ns 404.088M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/8388608 172055781 ns 373.391M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>/16777216 391377449 ns 332.01M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowMedian<double>_BigO 22.52 N
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/8 41.6 ns 739.55M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/16 58.4 ns 1050.48M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/32 66.5 ns 1.79606G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/64 115 ns 2.0762G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/128 198 ns 2.41515G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/256 365 ns 2.61328G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/512 720 ns 2.65053G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/1024 1424 ns 2.68123G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/2048 3009 ns 2.5379G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/4096 16748 ns 933.699M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/8192 40190 ns 778.105M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/16384 86500 ns 723.067M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/32768 176692 ns 708.108M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/65536 356863 ns 701.198M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/131072 714807 ns 700.08M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/262144 1429078 ns 700.415M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/524288 2877227 ns 695.785M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/1048576 5795662 ns 691.222M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/2097152 11562715 ns 692.427M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/4194304 23364846 ns 686.464M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/8388608 46442540 ns 689.871M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>/16777216 92284501 ns 694.006M/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<float>_BigO 5.51 N
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/8 45.1 ns 1.32169G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/16 53.6 ns 2.22712G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/32 71.4 ns 3.34079G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/64 112 ns 4.24946G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/128 196 ns 4.87317G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/256 378 ns 5.04476G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/512 702 ns 5.44134G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/1024 1417 ns 5.3865G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/2048 3031 ns 5.03872G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/4096 16813 ns 1.81669G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/8192 41182 ns 1.48565G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/16384 86939 ns 1.40536G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/32768 177255 ns 1.37892G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/65536 356391 ns 1.3713G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/131072 718417 ns 1.36057G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/262144 1442288 ns 1.35583G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/524288 2942259 ns 1.33217G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/1048576 5870235 ns 1.33244G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/2097152 11743081 ns 1.33192G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/4194304 23521002 ns 1.32976G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/8388608 46917407 ns 1.33339G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>/16777216 93823876 ns 1.33305G/s
BMRunsAboveAndBelowThreshold<double>_BigO 5.59 N 5.59 N
```
[endsect]
[/section:runs_test]